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✦ Q1 2026 · First Look

Maryland Credit Unions

MD Credit Unions

2026-Q1 61 Credit Unions Skip to the TL;DR

MD Credit Unions Shed Members and Loan Balances in Q1 2026 as Profitability Slips Further Below National Pace

Maryland's 61 credit unions entered 2026 under mounting pressure: member growth turned sharply negative at -1.32% in Q1 2026, a dramatic reversal from +2.20% a year ago, while loan balances contracted -0.78% quarter-over-quarter. ROA slipped to 0.54% from 0.66% in Q4 2025, landing 13 basis points below the national 0.67%, though it remains roughly stable year-over-year. Asset growth decelerated to 1.89% QoQ yet accelerated versus 1.39% in Q1 2025, offering a mixed signal. With delinquency still 10 basis points above national and certificate concentration rising, the cohort faces a structural engagement and yield challenge heading into mid-2026.

Key Insights

Year-over-Year Changes

Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
1.39% → 1.89% (+0.50%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
19.14% → 21.05% (+1.91%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
26.34% → 27.92% (+1.58%)
Indirect Auto Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
7.22% → 7.26% (+0.04%)
Member Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
2.20% → -1.32% (-3.52%)

Quarter-over-Quarter Changes

Deposit Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
1.71% → 1.13% (-0.58%)
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
2.67% → 1.89% (-0.78%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
20.44% → 21.05% (+0.61%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
27.20% → 27.92% (+0.72%)
Indirect Auto Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
7.27% → 7.26% (-0.02%)

Key Metrics

Return on Assets

0.54%

YoY
13 basis points below national
Profitability

Net Interest Margin

3.43%

YoY
27 basis points below national
Profitability

Asset Growth

1.89%

YoY
Growth

Member Growth

-1.32%

Growth

Delinquency Rate

0.87%

YoY
Risk

Net Worth Ratio

12.77%

Risk

AMR Growth

3.25%

Engagement

Deposit Growth

1.13%

YoY
Growth

Loan Growth

-0.78%

YoY
Growth

Member Engagement

Member Growth (YoY %)

Member engagement deteriorated sharply on a year-over-year basis. Member growth stood at -1.32% in Q1 2026, a severe deceleration of 3.52 percentage points from +2.20% in Q1 2025, and sits 68 basis points below the national rate of -0.65%. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the trend modestly accelerated by 0.12 pp from -1.44% in Q4 2025, suggesting the pace of member attrition may be stabilizing — but the cohort has not yet reversed course. Retaining and reactivating members must become a strategic priority before contraction becomes entrenched.

Profitability

Return on Assets (%)

Net Interest Margin (%)

Profitability weakened quarter-over-quarter but held roughly steady year-over-year. ROA declined to 0.54% in Q1 2026 from 0.66% in Q4 2025, a decrease of 0.12 pp, and remains 13 basis points below the national benchmark of 0.67%. Year-over-year, ROA is effectively stable, edging up just 3 basis points from 0.51% in Q1 2025. NIM followed a similar pattern, decreasing 0.11 pp to 3.43% from 3.54% in Q4 2025, while remaining stable versus 3.41% a year ago — and trailing the national NIM of 3.70% by 27 basis points. Margin compression is the dominant near-term earnings risk.

Growth

Asset Growth (YoY %)

Member Growth (YoY %)

Growth dynamics were mixed in Q1 2026. Asset growth decelerated to 1.89% from 2.67% in Q4 2025 (-0.78 pp QoQ), yet accelerated compared to 1.39% in Q1 2025 (+0.50 pp YoY), leaving the cohort 75 basis points below the national 2.64%. Loan growth decelerated sharply, falling to -0.78% from +0.62% in Q4 2025, now 1.10 percentage points below the national 0.31% — a meaningful contraction. Deposit growth also decelerated to 1.13% from 1.71% in Q4 2025, trailing the national 2.16% by 1.03 percentage points. Loan demand weakness is the most acute growth concern.

Risk & Credit Quality

Delinquency Rate (%)

Net Worth Ratio (%)

The risk profile showed a split picture in Q1 2026. Delinquency decreased to 0.87% from 1.07% in Q4 2025 (-0.19 pp QoQ), a welcome improvement, but increased 0.13 pp from 0.75% in Q1 2025 on a year-over-year basis, leaving the cohort 10 basis points above the national 0.78%. Net worth increased to 12.77% from 12.65% in Q4 2025 and rose 0.53 pp from 12.24% in Q1 2025, demonstrating consistent capital accumulation — though the cohort remains 84 basis points below the national 13.61%. Capital strength is building, but credit quality trends warrant continued monitoring.

Portfolio Mix

First Mortgage (%)

Indirect Auto (%)

Share Certificates (%)

Portfolio composition shifted notably over the past year. First mortgage concentration rose to 27.92% in Q1 2026, up 1.58 pp from 26.34% in Q1 2025 and up 0.72 pp from 27.20% in Q4 2025, well above the national 22.15%. Certificate concentration climbed to 21.05%, up 1.91 pp year-over-year from 19.14% and up 0.61 pp from 20.44% in Q4 2025, exceeding the national 19.80%. Indirect auto concentration remained essentially stable at 7.26%, up just 4 basis points year-over-year and essentially flat QoQ, slightly below the national 7.73%. The cohort is increasingly concentrated in longer-duration assets and rate-sensitive liabilities.

Strategic Implications

  • Reversing member attrition — down 1.32% YoY versus a national rate of -0.65% — requires targeted digital onboarding and community-based acquisition campaigns before the trend compounds.
  • Loan contraction of -0.78% QoQ against a national +0.31% signals a need to reassess underwriting standards and product competitiveness, particularly in consumer and auto segments where pipeline may be drying up.
  • Rising first mortgage concentration at 27.92% — nearly 5.8 percentage points above national — increases interest rate duration risk; stress-testing the mortgage book against a prolonged rate environment is essential.
  • Certificate concentration climbing to 21.05% (+1.91 pp YoY) locks in higher funding costs; management should model repricing timelines and evaluate strategies to shift toward lower-cost core deposits.
  • With net worth strengthening to 12.77% (+0.53 pp YoY) but ROA lagging at 0.54%, Maryland CUs have capital headroom to invest in growth infrastructure, but must improve earnings efficiency to justify deployment.

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Notable Patterns

How This Cohort Compares to National

First Mortgage Share is 5.8pp above national

Efficiency Ratio (Quarterly) is 1.7pp above national

Certificate Pct is 1.3pp above national

Loan Growth (annual) is 1.1pp below national

Deposit Growth (Annual) is 1.0pp below national

Data Quality Notes

5 metric(s) had extreme values filtered using MAD-based, z-score > 5.0.

Net Worth Ratio (Absolute) 2 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 13.33% → Cleaned average: 12.77%
View excluded credit unions
Total Delinquency Rate (60+ days) (Absolute) 2 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 1.15% → Cleaned average: 0.87%
View excluded credit unions
Deposit Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 1 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 0.52% → Cleaned average: 1.13%
View excluded credit unions
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 1 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 1.33% → Cleaned average: 1.89%
View excluded credit unions
Loan Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 1 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: -1.74% → Cleaned average: -0.78%
View excluded credit unions
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