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✦ Q1 2026 · First Look

North Carolina Credit Unions

NC Credit Unions

2026-Q1 57 Credit Unions Skip to the TL;DR

NC Credit Unions Shed Members as Margin Tightens and Loan Growth Slows — Profitability Lags National Peers

North Carolina's 57 credit unions entered 2026-Q1 under pressure on multiple fronts. Member growth turned negative at -0.70%, a sharp deceleration of 2.63 pp from 1.93% a year ago. ROA slipped 7 bps quarter-over-quarter to 0.58%, sitting 9 bps below the national 0.67%, though it remains well above the 0.41% recorded in 2025-Q1. NIM compressed from 4.01% in 2025-Q4 to 3.90%, yet still leads the national 3.70%. Loan growth decelerated to 0.70% from 1.69% last quarter but outpaces the national 0.31%. Delinquency improvement offers a rare bright spot. Capital discipline will be the defining challenge ahead.

Key Insights

Year-over-Year Changes

Indirect Auto Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
5.36% → 4.91% (-0.45%)
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
0.19% → 1.60% (+1.40%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
20.64% → 21.20% (+0.55%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
29.31% → 31.33% (+2.01%)
Member Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
1.93% → -0.70% (-2.63%)

Quarter-over-Quarter Changes

Indirect Auto Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
5.12% → 4.91% (-0.21%)
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
2.17% → 1.60% (-0.57%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
21.68% → 21.20% (-0.48%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
30.72% → 31.33% (+0.60%)
Loan Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
1.69% → 0.70% (-0.98%)

Key Metrics

Return on Assets

0.58%

YoY
9 basis points below national
Profitability

Net Interest Margin

3.90%

YoY
20 basis points above national
Profitability

Asset Growth

1.60%

YoY
Growth

Member Growth

-0.70%

Growth

Delinquency Rate

0.95%

YoY
Risk

Net Worth Ratio

13.36%

Risk

AMR Growth

1.25%

Engagement
Insufficient historical data for trend visualization

Deposit Growth

1.63%

Growth
Insufficient historical data for trend visualization

Loan Growth

0.70%

YoY
Growth

Member Engagement

Member Growth (YoY %)

Member engagement deteriorated markedly in 2026-Q1. Member growth decelerated to -0.70%, down 0.78 pp from the already-thin 0.08% posted in 2025-Q4, and a steep 2.63 pp decline from the 1.93% growth recorded in 2025-Q1. The cohort now sits 5 basis points below the national benchmark of -0.65%, meaning NC credit unions are losing members at a slightly faster pace than the industry overall. The reversal from positive to negative territory over a single year signals a structural headwind in member acquisition and retention that warrants urgent strategic attention.

Profitability

Return on Assets (%)

Net Interest Margin (%)

Profitability presents a mixed picture in 2026-Q1. ROA decreased 7 bps quarter-over-quarter, falling from 0.65% in 2025-Q4 to 0.58%, leaving NC credit unions 9 bps below the national 0.67%. However, on a year-over-year basis, ROA increased 0.17 pp from 0.41% in 2025-Q1, reflecting meaningful recovery over the past year. NIM decreased from 4.01% in 2025-Q4 to 3.90% in 2026-Q1, though it remained essentially stable year-over-year from 3.88% in 2025-Q1 and continues to outpace the national benchmark of 3.70% by 20 basis points — a competitive advantage worth preserving.

Growth

Asset Growth (YoY %)

Member Growth (YoY %)

Asset growth decelerated from 2.17% in 2025-Q4 to 1.60% in 2026-Q1, falling 1.04 percentage points below the national benchmark of 2.64%. Year-over-year, however, the picture is more encouraging: asset growth accelerated sharply from just 0.19% in 2025-Q1, a gain of 1.40 pp. Loan growth also decelerated quarter-over-quarter, slipping from 1.69% in 2025-Q4 to 0.70% in 2026-Q1, though it still outpaces the national rate of 0.31% by 39 basis points. The near-term deceleration in both metrics warrants monitoring, even as the year-over-year trajectory remains constructive.

Risk & Credit Quality

Delinquency Rate (%)

Net Worth Ratio (%)

The risk profile improved modestly in 2026-Q1. Delinquency decreased from 1.26% in 2025-Q4 to 0.95% — a meaningful 0.30 pp quarterly improvement — and was essentially stable year-over-year, down just 4 bps from 1.00% in 2025-Q1. Despite the improvement, the cohort's 0.95% delinquency rate remains 18 basis points above the national benchmark of 0.78%, indicating elevated credit risk relative to peers. Net worth decreased slightly from 13.47% in 2025-Q4 to 13.36%, and is down 0.24 pp from 13.59% in 2025-Q1, now 26 bps below the national 13.61% — a gradual capital erosion that bears watching.

Portfolio Mix

First Mortgage (%)

Indirect Auto (%)

Share Certificates (%)

NC credit unions continued shifting toward first mortgage lending, with concentration rising to 31.33% in 2026-Q1 from 30.72% in 2025-Q4 (QoQ +0.60 pp) and 29.31% in 2025-Q1 (YoY +2.01 pp) — far exceeding the national benchmark of 22.15%. Indirect auto concentration declined to 4.91% from 5.12% in 2025-Q4 and 5.36% in 2025-Q1, remaining well below the national 7.73%. Share certificate concentration eased to 21.20% from 21.68% in 2025-Q4, though it rose 0.55 pp year-over-year from 20.64%, sitting modestly above the national 19.80% — reflecting continued member preference for fixed-rate deposit products.

Strategic Implications

  • The shift to negative member growth (-0.70%) demands a targeted acquisition strategy; relying on organic community growth alone will not reverse the 2.63 pp year-over-year deceleration.
  • First mortgage concentration at 31.33% — 9.18 pp above the national average — creates interest rate and liquidity duration risk that balance sheet managers should stress-test against a prolonged high-rate environment.
  • ROA of 0.58% trailing the national 0.67% despite a NIM advantage of 20 bps suggests operating expense or provision drag; efficiency improvement initiatives could close the profitability gap without sacrificing margin.
  • Delinquency at 0.95% remains 18 bps above the national benchmark even after a 0.30 pp quarterly improvement; credit underwriting standards and collection practices should be benchmarked against top-performing peers.
  • Decelerating loan growth (0.70% from 1.69% last quarter) alongside shrinking membership signals a potential volume-revenue squeeze; diversifying into indirect auto or business lending could offset the retreat in consumer originations.

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Notable Patterns

How This Cohort Compares to National

First Mortgage Share is 9.2pp above national

Indirect Auto Pct is 2.8pp below national

Certificate Pct is 1.4pp above national

First Mortgage Share (annual) is 1.1pp above national

Asset Growth (annual) is 1.0pp below national

Data Quality Notes

5 metric(s) had extreme values filtered using MAD-based, z-score > 5.0.

Net Worth Ratio (Absolute) 3 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 14.51% → Cleaned average: 13.36%
View excluded credit unions
Return on Assets (ROA) (Absolute) 3 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 0.36% → Cleaned average: 0.58%
View excluded credit unions
Total Delinquency Rate (60+ days) (Absolute) 3 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 1.28% → Cleaned average: 0.95%
View excluded credit unions
Member Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 1 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: -0.02% → Cleaned average: -0.70%
View excluded credit unions
Net Interest Margin (NIM) (Absolute) 1 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 3.99% → Cleaned average: 3.90%
View excluded credit unions
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