✦ CU Wrapped 2025 · Annual Review

Texas Credit Unions

Texas Credit Unions

2025-Q4 386 Credit Unions

Texas Credit Unions Face Member Exodus as Loan Portfolio Contracts Despite Accelerating Asset Growth

Texas credit unions experienced a challenging Q4 2025, with member growth decelerating to -0.70% from -0.36% in Q3 and a sharp reversal from +1.46% growth a year ago. Despite asset growth accelerating to 2.21% both quarter-over-quarter (+0.77 pp) and year-over-year (+0.66 pp), loan portfolios contracted -1.31%, worsening from -1.11% in Q3. Profitability showed mixed signals with ROA declining to 0.64% from 0.71% quarterly but improving from 0.59% annually. Rising delinquencies to 0.91% signal emerging credit stress despite strong capital positions.

Key Insights

Year-over-Year Changes

Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2024-Q4 2025-Q4
1.54% → 2.21% (+0.66%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2024-Q4 2025-Q4
15.43% → 16.04% (+0.61%)
Member Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2024-Q4 2025-Q4
1.46% → -0.70% (-2.16%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2024-Q4 2025-Q4
19.69% → 21.19% (+1.50%)
Indirect Auto Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2024-Q4 2025-Q4
7.21% → 7.09% (-0.12%)

Quarter-over-Quarter Changes

Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q3 2025-Q4
1.44% → 2.21% (+0.77%)
Deposit Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q3 2025-Q4
1.21% → 1.84% (+0.63%)
Loan Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q3 2025-Q4
-1.11% → -1.31% (-0.20%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q3 2025-Q4
15.88% → 16.04% (+0.16%)
Member Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q3 2025-Q4
-0.36% → -0.70% (-0.34%)

Key Metrics

Return on Assets

0.64%

YoY
9 basis points below national
Profitability

Net Interest Margin

3.92%

YoY
20 basis points above national
Profitability

Asset Growth

2.21%

YoY
Growth

Member Growth

-0.70%

Growth

Delinquency Rate

0.91%

YoY
Risk

Net Worth Ratio

15.24%

Risk

AMR Growth

1.30%

Engagement

Deposit Growth

1.84%

YoY
Growth

Loan Growth

-1.31%

YoY
Growth

Member Engagement

Member Growth (YoY %)

Member engagement deteriorated significantly with growth decelerating to -0.70% in Q4 2025, worsening from -0.36% in Q3 and representing a dramatic 2.16 percentage point decline from +1.46% growth in Q4 2024, indicating fundamental membership retention challenges across Texas institutions.

Profitability

Return on Assets (%)

Net Interest Margin (%)

Profitability showed mixed trends with ROA decreasing to 0.64% from 0.71% quarter-over-quarter but improving from 0.59% year-over-year. NIM remained stable at 3.92% quarterly while strengthening 13 basis points annually, providing a 20 basis point advantage over the national 3.72% benchmark.

Growth

Asset Growth (YoY %)

Member Growth (YoY %)

Growth momentum accelerated with assets expanding 2.21%, up from 1.44% in Q3 and 1.54% a year ago. However, loan growth decelerated to -1.31% from -1.11% quarterly, while deposit growth accelerated to 1.84% from 1.21%, creating a concerning loan-deposit growth divergence.

Risk & Credit Quality

Delinquency Rate (%)

Net Worth Ratio (%)

Risk metrics showed deterioration with delinquencies increasing to 0.91% from 0.84% quarterly and 0.85% annually. However, net worth strengthened to 15.24% from 14.97% quarterly and 14.69% annually, maintaining a robust 1.56 percentage point cushion above national levels at 13.68%.

Portfolio Mix

First Mortgage (%)

Indirect Auto (%)

Share Certificates (%)

Portfolio composition shifted toward certificates, rising to 21.19% from 19.69% annually, exceeding the national 19.80%. First mortgage concentration increased to 16.04% from 15.88% quarterly and 15.43% annually, while indirect auto holdings declined slightly to 7.09% from 7.21% year-over-year.

Strategic Implications

  • Member retention initiatives critical as negative growth accelerates beyond national trends
  • Loan origination strategies need restructuring given contracting portfolio amid deposit growth
  • Rising certificate concentrations suggest defensive positioning but may pressure future margins
  • Credit risk monitoring essential as delinquencies trend upward despite strong capital buffers

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Notable Patterns

How This Cohort Compares to National

First Mortgage Share is 5.9pp below national

Loan Growth (annual) is 1.8pp below national

Net Worth Ratio is 1.6pp above national

Efficiency Ratio (Annual) is 1.4pp above national

Certificate Pct is 1.4pp above national

Data Quality Notes

7 metric(s) had extreme values filtered using MAD-based, z-score > 5.0.

Total Delinquency Rate (60+ days) (Absolute) 17 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 1.28% → Cleaned average: 0.91%
View excluded credit unions
Net Worth Ratio (Absolute) 7 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 15.79% → Cleaned average: 15.24%
View excluded credit unions
Member Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 6 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: -0.24% → Cleaned average: -0.70%
View excluded credit unions
Return on Assets (ROA) (Absolute) 6 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 0.58% → Cleaned average: 0.64%
View excluded credit unions
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 2 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 2.46% → Cleaned average: 2.21%
View excluded credit unions
Deposit Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 2 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 2.11% → Cleaned average: 1.84%
View excluded credit unions
Loan Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 2 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: -0.82% → Cleaned average: -1.31%
View excluded credit unions
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