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✦ Q1 2026 · First Look

Virginia Credit Unions

VA Credit Unions

2026-Q1 95 Credit Unions Skip to the TL;DR

VA Credit Unions Shed Members and Loan Balances as Growth Engine Stalls in Q1 2026

Virginia's 95 credit unions entered 2026 under pressure: member growth decelerated to -1.15% in Q1 2026, down from -0.93% last quarter and a sharp reversal from +4.86% a year ago, while loan growth contracted to -1.71% from -0.51% in Q4 2025 — both trailing national benchmarks. Asset growth decelerated to 1.70%, 94 bps below the national 2.64%. The bright spot is profitability: ROA reached 0.61%, up 14 bps year-over-year from 0.48% in Q1 2025, though essentially flat quarter-over-quarter. Persistent member attrition and negative loan growth signal a structural demand challenge that improving earnings alone cannot offset.

Key Insights

Year-over-Year Changes

Return on Assets (ROA) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
0.48% → 0.61% (+0.14%)
Net Interest Margin (NIM) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
3.75% → 3.71% (-0.04%)
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
3.72% → 1.70% (-2.03%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
18.04% → 17.98% (-0.06%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
20.92% → 22.08% (+1.17%)

Quarter-over-Quarter Changes

Return on Assets (ROA) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
0.62% → 0.61% (-0.01%)
Net Interest Margin (NIM) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
3.85% → 3.71% (-0.14%)
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
2.59% → 1.70% (-0.90%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
18.27% → 17.98% (-0.30%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
21.59% → 22.08% (+0.50%)

Key Metrics

Return on Assets

0.61%

YoY
6 basis points below national
Profitability

Net Interest Margin

3.71%

YoY
1 basis points above national
Profitability

Asset Growth

1.70%

YoY
Growth

Member Growth

-1.15%

Growth

Delinquency Rate

0.87%

YoY
Risk

Net Worth Ratio

13.59%

Risk

AMR Growth

1.33%

Engagement
Insufficient historical data for trend visualization

Deposit Growth

2.27%

Growth

Loan Growth

-1.71%

YoY
Growth

Member Engagement

Member Growth (YoY %)

Member engagement deteriorated further in Q1 2026, with member growth decelerating to -1.15% from -0.93% in Q4 2025 — a 0.22 pp quarter-over-quarter decline. The year-over-year picture is starker: growth decelerated 6.01 pp from the +4.86% posted in Q1 2025, representing a dramatic reversal. At -1.15%, Virginia credit unions trail the national average of -0.65% by 50 basis points. Sustained membership contraction raises questions about whether recent fee structures, branch accessibility, or competitive pressure from digital-first institutions are eroding the membership base.

Profitability

Return on Assets (%)

Net Interest Margin (%)

Profitability presents a mixed but broadly constructive picture for Virginia credit unions in Q1 2026. ROA held at 0.61%, essentially stable quarter-over-quarter from 0.62% in Q4 2025 (a mere 1 bp change), but meaningfully increased from 0.48% in Q1 2025 — a 0.14 pp year-over-year gain. ROA remains 6 bps below the national benchmark of 0.67%. NIM decreased to 3.71% from 3.85% in Q4 2025, a 0.14 pp quarterly compression, though it is stable year-over-year relative to 3.75% in Q1 2025, and sits 1 bp above the national average of 3.70%.

Growth

Asset Growth (YoY %)

Member Growth (YoY %)

Growth decelerated across the board in Q1 2026. Asset growth slowed to 1.70% from 2.59% in Q4 2025 (a 0.90 pp deceleration) and further decelerated from 3.72% in Q1 2025 — a 2.03 pp year-over-year decline — leaving Virginia 94 bps below the national asset growth rate of 2.64%. Loan growth deteriorated to -1.71% from -0.51% in Q4 2025, a 1.20 pp deceleration, and now trails the national benchmark of 0.31% by 2.02 percentage points. Negative loan growth in consecutive quarters signals weakening origination pipelines and potential credit tightening.

Risk & Credit Quality

Delinquency Rate (%)

Net Worth Ratio (%)

The risk profile for Virginia credit unions showed improvement quarter-over-quarter but mild deterioration year-over-year in Q1 2026. Delinquency decreased to 0.87% from 1.00% in Q4 2025, a 0.13 pp improvement, but increased 5 bps from 0.82% in Q1 2025, and sits 9 bps above the national benchmark of 0.78%. Net worth decreased modestly to 13.59% from 13.67% in Q4 2025 (9 bps), yet increased 0.43 pp from 13.15% in Q1 2025, landing just 3 bps below the national average of 13.61% — reflecting a well-capitalized cohort despite incremental quarterly erosion.

Portfolio Mix

First Mortgage (%)

Indirect Auto (%)

Share Certificates (%)

Virginia credit unions shifted modestly toward mortgage concentration in Q1 2026. First mortgage share increased to 22.08% from 21.59% in Q4 2025 (up 0.50 pp QoQ) and from 20.92% in Q1 2025 (up 1.17 pp YoY), now nearly aligned with the national benchmark of 22.15%. Indirect auto exposure stands at 9.39%, down 0.46 pp year-over-year, yet still 1.66 pp above the national average of 7.73%. Share certificate concentration edged down to 17.98% from 18.27% in Q4 2025 (down 0.30 pp QoQ) and down just 0.06 pp year-over-year, remaining 1.82 pp below the national 19.80%.

Strategic Implications

  • With member growth at -1.15% and 50 bps below national, Virginia CUs must urgently audit onboarding and retention pipelines — particularly digital acquisition channels where fintech competitors are gaining ground.
  • Negative loan growth of -1.71% combined with decelerating assets suggests underutilized balance sheet capacity; leadership should evaluate targeted lending promotions or indirect channel expansion to reverse contraction before it compounds.
  • NIM compression of 0.14 pp quarter-over-quarter to 3.71% warrants close monitoring of liability repricing; certificate concentration at 17.98% — well below the national 19.80% — may limit deposit cost flexibility if rates shift.
  • The 1.17 pp year-over-year increase in first mortgage concentration to 22.08% aligns portfolios closer to national norms but increases interest rate duration risk; stress-testing mortgage books against rate scenarios is increasingly critical.
  • Strong net worth at 13.59% and improving ROA (+0.14 pp YoY) provide capital headroom to fund strategic investments in member growth — the window to deploy this buffer offensively, before attrition erodes the base further, is narrowing.

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Notable Patterns

How This Cohort Compares to National

Loan To Share Ratio is 2.7pp below national

Loan Growth (annual) is 2.0pp below national

Certificate Pct is 1.8pp below national

Indirect Auto Pct is 1.7pp above national

Asset Growth (annual) is 0.9pp below national

Data Quality Notes

6 metric(s) had extreme values filtered using MAD-based, z-score > 5.0.

Total Delinquency Rate (60+ days) (Absolute) 6 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 1.44% → Cleaned average: 0.87%
View excluded credit unions
Return on Assets (ROA) (Absolute) 5 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 0.27% → Cleaned average: 0.61%
View excluded credit unions
Member Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 4 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: -1.24% → Cleaned average: -1.15%
View excluded credit unions
Net Interest Margin (NIM) (Absolute) 3 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 4.04% → Cleaned average: 3.71%
View excluded credit unions
Net Worth Ratio (Absolute) 2 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 14.12% → Cleaned average: 13.59%
View excluded credit unions
Loan Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 1 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: -0.48% → Cleaned average: -1.71%
View excluded credit unions
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