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California Credit Unions

California Credit Unions

2026-Q2 227 Credit Unions Skip to the TL;DR

California CUs Post Profit Surge as Member Rolls Shrink for Third Straight Quarter

California's 227 credit unions delivered a standout profitability rebound in Q2 2026, with ROA climbing to 0.73% from 0.46% in Q1 2026 and 0.56% a year ago — yet the cohort remains 16 bps below the national 0.89%. The gains arrive against a troubling membership backdrop: member growth has been negative for three consecutive quarters, hitting -0.43% in Q2 2026, even as loan growth accelerated to 1.46% year-over-year. This divergence — more lending to a shrinking member base — signals deepening per-member penetration but raises long-term sustainability questions. Rising delinquency warrants close monitoring heading into H2 2026.

Key Insights

Year-over-Year Changes

Loan Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q2 2026-Q2
0.49% → 1.46% (+0.97%)
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q2 2026-Q2
1.55% → 2.48% (+0.92%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q2 2026-Q2
21.47% → 22.18% (+0.71%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q2 2026-Q2
32.41% → 32.82% (+0.41%)
Indirect Auto Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q2 2026-Q2
9.67% → 9.17% (-0.50%)

Quarter-over-Quarter Changes

Loan Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2026-Q1 2026-Q2
1.67% → 1.46% (-0.21%)
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2026-Q1 2026-Q2
2.17% → 2.48% (+0.31%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2026-Q1 2026-Q2
21.63% → 22.18% (+0.55%)
First Mortgage Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2026-Q1 2026-Q2
32.84% → 32.82% (-0.02%)
Indirect Auto Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2026-Q1 2026-Q2
9.02% → 9.17% (+0.14%)

Key Metrics

Return on Assets

0.73%

YoY
16 basis points below national
Profitability

Net Interest Margin

3.39%

YoY
35 basis points below national
Profitability

Asset Growth

2.48%

YoY
Growth

Member Growth

-0.43%

Growth

Delinquency Rate

0.62%

YoY
Risk

Net Worth Ratio

12.25%

Risk

AMR Growth

2.82%

Engagement

Deposit Growth

2.62%

Growth

Loan Growth

1.46%

YoY
Growth

Member Engagement

Member Growth (YoY %)

Member growth edged to -0.43% in Q2 2026, a modest improvement from -0.52% in Q1 2026 (QoQ acceleration of 9 bps), but a sharp reversal from the +0.12% recorded in Q2 2025. This marks the third consecutive quarter of negative member growth since 2025-Q4, when the cohort last posted a positive reading of +0.35% in Q3 2025. On the positive side, California CUs outperform the national benchmark of -0.69% by 27 basis points, suggesting relative resilience even as absolute membership contraction continues to pressure long-term growth strategy.

Profitability

Return on Assets (%)

Net Interest Margin (%)

Profitability improved meaningfully in Q2 2026, with ROA rising to 0.73% from 0.46% in Q1 2026 — a gain of 0.27 pp quarter-over-quarter — and up 0.17 pp from 0.56% in Q2 2025. Despite this progress, California CUs trail the national benchmark by 16 basis points. Net interest margin held steady at 3.39% in Q2 2026, essentially unchanged from Q1 2026 (+0.002 pp), though NIM has expanded 0.15 pp year-over-year from 3.25% in Q2 2025. The NIM gap versus the national 3.74% remains a structural drag on earnings capacity.

Growth

Asset Growth (YoY %)

Member Growth (YoY %)

Asset growth accelerated to 2.48% in Q2 2026, up from 2.17% in Q1 2026 (QoQ) and from 1.55% in Q2 2025 (YoY), extending a positive streak now running six consecutive quarters since Q1 2025. Loan growth decelerated modestly to 1.46% from 1.67% in Q1 2026, but accelerated sharply from 0.49% in Q2 2025 — a 0.97 pp year-over-year improvement — and has been positive for five straight quarters. California CUs lead the national loan growth benchmark of 0.22% by 1.25 percentage points, a meaningful competitive advantage in the current environment.

Risk & Credit Quality

Delinquency Rate (%)

Net Worth Ratio (%)

The risk profile showed modest deterioration in Q2 2026. Delinquency increased to 0.62% from 0.55% in Q1 2026 (+7 bps QoQ) and from 0.56% in Q2 2025 (+6 bps YoY), though California CUs remain 25 basis points below the national benchmark of 0.88%, a meaningful buffer. Net worth strengthened to 12.25% from 11.94% in Q1 2026 (+0.32 pp QoQ) and from 11.71% in Q2 2025 (+0.55 pp YoY), reflecting improving capital accumulation — though the cohort still trails the national 13.81% by 1.56 percentage points, leaving limited cushion relative to peers.

Portfolio Mix

First Mortgage (%)

Indirect Auto (%)

Share Certificates (%)

First mortgage concentration held near-stable at 32.82% in Q2 2026, essentially unchanged from 32.84% in Q1 2026 (-2 bps QoQ) but up 0.41 pp from 32.41% in Q2 2025 — and significantly above the national benchmark of 22.22%. Indirect auto edged up to 9.17% from 9.02% in Q1 2026 (+0.14 pp QoQ) but fell 0.50 pp year-over-year from 9.67%, remaining above the national 7.71%. Share certificate concentration rose to 22.18% from 21.63% in Q1 2026 (+0.55 pp QoQ) and from 21.47% in Q2 2025 (+0.71 pp YoY), slightly above the national 20.02%, reflecting continued member appetite for fixed-rate savings.

Strategic Implications

  • The three-quarter membership contraction demands urgent acquisition investment: loan growth outpacing member growth is unsustainable long-term, as the borrower pool will eventually thin without new member onboarding.
  • ROA's 0.27 pp quarterly surge is encouraging but the 16 bp gap versus the national benchmark signals California CUs must improve efficiency or widen NIM — currently 35 bps below national — to close the profitability divide.
  • First mortgage concentration at 32.82%, nearly 10.6 percentage points above the national average, creates duration and rate-sensitivity risk; leadership should evaluate whether rebalancing toward shorter-duration consumer products is warranted.
  • Rising delinquency (+7 bps QoQ, +6 bps YoY) alongside accelerating loan growth warrants tightened underwriting review in H2 2026, particularly in indirect auto, where concentration exceeds the national benchmark.
  • Certificate concentration climbing to 22.18% — up 0.71 pp year-over-year — suggests members are locking in rates, which could compress future NIM flexibility if the rate environment shifts downward; liability management strategy should be stress-tested accordingly.

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Notable Patterns

How This Cohort Compares to National

First Mortgage Share is 10.6pp above national

Certificate Pct is 2.2pp above national

Net Worth Ratio is 1.6pp below national

Indirect Auto Pct is 1.5pp above national

Loan Growth (annual) is 1.2pp above national

Data Quality Notes

6 metric(s) had extreme values filtered using MAD-based, z-score > 5.0.

Member Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 5 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: -0.12% → Cleaned average: -0.43%
View excluded credit unions
Net Worth Ratio (Absolute) 5 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 13.08% → Cleaned average: 12.25%
View excluded credit unions
Total Delinquency Rate (60+ days) (Absolute) 5 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 0.69% → Cleaned average: 0.62%
View excluded credit unions
Loan Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 3 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 3.67% → Cleaned average: 1.46%
View excluded credit unions
Return on Assets (ROA) (Absolute) 3 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 2.52% → Cleaned average: 0.73%
View excluded credit unions
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 1 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 3.00% → Cleaned average: 2.48%
View excluded credit unions
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