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✦ Q1 2026 · First Look

California Credit Unions

California Credit Unions

2026-Q1 242 Credit Unions Skip to the TL;DR

California CUs Post Membership Declines and ROA Slump as NIM Gains Fail to Offset Profitability Pressure

California's 242 credit unions entered 2026-Q1 with a mixed but cautionary profile. Member growth decelerated to -0.52% from -0.39% in 2025-Q4 and sharply reversed from +3.02% in 2025-Q1, though it narrowly outpaces the national -0.65%. ROA slipped to 0.46% from 0.57% last quarter, sitting 21 bps below the national 0.67%, even as NIM expanded 7 bps QoQ and 17 bps YoY to 3.39%. Loan growth accelerated to 1.67%, well ahead of the national 0.31%, while delinquency improved to 0.55%. The core challenge ahead is converting margin gains into bottom-line profitability.

Key Insights

Year-over-Year Changes

Net Interest Margin (NIM) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
3.22% → 3.39% (+0.17%)
Return on Assets (ROA) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
0.47% → 0.46% (-0.01%)
Indirect Auto Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
9.81% → 9.02% (-0.79%)
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
0.07% → 2.17% (+2.10%)
Share Certificate Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q1 2026-Q1
20.99% → 21.63% (+0.64%)

Quarter-over-Quarter Changes

Net Interest Margin (NIM) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
3.32% → 3.39% (+0.07%)
Return on Assets (ROA) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
0.57% → 0.46% (-0.11%)
Fee Income Per Member (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
145.40% → 128.35% (-11.73%)
Indirect Auto Concentration (%) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
9.18% → 9.02% (-0.16%)
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute)
2025-Q4 2026-Q1
3.00% → 2.17% (-0.83%)

Key Metrics

Return on Assets

0.46%

YoY
21 basis points below national
Profitability

Net Interest Margin

3.39%

YoY
31 basis points below national
Profitability

Asset Growth

2.17%

YoY
Growth

Member Growth

-0.52%

Growth

Delinquency Rate

0.55%

YoY
Risk

Net Worth Ratio

11.94%

Risk

AMR Growth

2.82%

Engagement

Deposit Growth

2.44%

Growth

Loan Growth

1.67%

YoY
Growth

Member Engagement

Member Growth (YoY %)

Member engagement deteriorated further in 2026-Q1. Member growth decelerated to -0.52% from -0.39% in 2025-Q4 — a -0.13 pp QoQ slide — and represents a dramatic reversal from the +3.02% recorded in 2025-Q1, a -3.55 pp year-over-year decline. The editorial read is clearly negative: California CUs are losing members at an accelerating pace on both timeframes. The one relative bright spot is that the cohort's -0.52% still stands 12 basis points above the national benchmark of -0.65%, suggesting industry-wide headwinds are at play, but California is not immune.

Profitability

Return on Assets (%)

Net Interest Margin (%)

Profitability delivered a mixed signal in 2026-Q1. ROA decreased to 0.46% from 0.57% in 2025-Q4 — a -0.11 pp quarterly drop — though it held near the 0.47% recorded in 2025-Q1, marking a stable year-over-year picture with only a -0.008 pp change. NIM improved in both timeframes, rising 7 bps QoQ from 3.32% and 17 bps YoY from 3.22%, reaching 3.39% — yet still 31 bps below the national 3.70%. Fee income fell sharply, decreasing from 145.40% to 128.35% QoQ, though it remains 12.17 percentage points above the national 116.17%. Margin expansion has yet to translate into sustained earnings improvement.

Growth

Asset Growth (YoY %)

Member Growth (YoY %)

Growth dynamics in 2026-Q1 were bifurcated. Asset growth decelerated to 2.17% from 3.00% in 2025-Q4 (-0.83 pp QoQ), though it accelerated dramatically versus the 0.07% recorded in 2025-Q1 (+2.10 pp YoY), remaining slightly below the national 2.64%. Loan growth accelerated to 1.67% from 1.54% in 2025-Q4 (+0.13 pp QoQ), outpacing the national benchmark of 0.31% by a substantial 1.36 percentage points. The deceleration in assets alongside robust loan expansion suggests California CUs are deploying capital productively, though sustaining this pace amid membership contraction will require careful management.

Risk & Credit Quality

Delinquency Rate (%)

Net Worth Ratio (%)

The risk profile of California CUs improved modestly in 2026-Q1 on most fronts. Delinquency decreased to 0.55% from 0.64% in 2025-Q4 (-0.09 pp QoQ), a meaningful improvement, though it is essentially stable versus the 0.51% in 2025-Q1 (+0.04 pp YoY). At 0.55%, the cohort sits a favorable 23 bps below the national 0.78%. Net worth was stable QoQ at 11.94% versus 11.95% in 2025-Q4 (-0.01 pp), but increased 0.52 pp from 11.42% in 2025-Q1. Despite year-over-year capital accumulation, net worth remains 1.68 percentage points below the national 13.61%, a structural gap warranting attention.

Portfolio Mix

First Mortgage (%)

Indirect Auto (%)

Share Certificates (%)

California CUs carry a distinctly mortgage-heavy portfolio. First mortgage concentration stands at 32.84% in 2026-Q1, up 0.38 pp year-over-year and nearly 10.69 percentage points above the national 22.15%, reflecting the state's elevated housing market exposure. Indirect auto concentration edged down 0.79 pp YoY to 9.02%, modestly above the national 7.73%, suggesting a deliberate pullback from that channel. Share certificate concentration rose 0.64 pp YoY to 21.63%, now 1.83 percentage points above the national 19.80%, indicating members are locking in rates — a deposit mix shift with potential cost implications as the rate environment evolves.

Strategic Implications

  • Accelerating membership decline (-0.52% in 2026-Q1 vs. +3.02% a year ago) demands urgent investment in digital acquisition and community-based outreach to reverse the trajectory before it pressures deposit funding.
  • NIM expansion of 17 bps YoY to 3.39% is encouraging, but the 31 bp gap below the national average and a falling ROA signal that operating cost discipline must accompany margin gains to restore profitability to peer levels.
  • Loan growth of 1.67% — outpacing the national 0.31% by 1.36 percentage points — is a competitive strength, but the mortgage-heavy portfolio at 32.84% (vs. 22.15% nationally) concentrates interest rate and credit risk in California's volatile housing market.
  • Rising certificate concentration (+0.64 pp YoY to 21.63%) suggests members are seeking yield certainty; CUs should proactively model repricing risk and develop strategies to retain these deposits when certificates mature.
  • Net worth at 11.94%, while improved 0.52 pp YoY, remains 1.68 pp below the national 13.61% — capital building should be a strategic priority to provide buffer against potential credit deterioration in the indirect auto and mortgage books.

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Notable Patterns

How This Cohort Compares to National

First Mortgage Share is 10.7pp above national

Certificate Pct is 1.8pp above national

Loan To Share Ratio is 1.8pp above national

Net Worth Ratio is 1.7pp below national

Loan Growth (annual) is 1.4pp above national

Data Quality Notes

8 metric(s) had extreme values filtered using MAD-based, z-score > 5.0.

Member Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 7 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 0.24% → Cleaned average: -0.52%
View excluded credit unions
Net Worth Ratio (Absolute) 7 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 12.83% → Cleaned average: 11.94%
View excluded credit unions
Total Delinquency Rate (60+ days) (Absolute) 5 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 0.61% → Cleaned average: 0.55%
View excluded credit unions
Loan Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 4 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 2.27% → Cleaned average: 1.67%
View excluded credit unions
Return on Assets (ROA) (Absolute) 3 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 2.14% → Cleaned average: 0.46%
View excluded credit unions
Asset Growth (YoY) (Absolute) 3 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 3.20% → Cleaned average: 2.17%
View excluded credit unions
Net Interest Margin (NIM) (Absolute) 1 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 5.03% → Cleaned average: 3.39%
View excluded credit unions
  • HAVEN (24982) - 400.00%
Fee Income Per Member (Absolute) 1 CU(s) excluded
Raw average: 131.29% → Cleaned average: 128.35%
View excluded credit unions
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